Hydrological forecasts are produced by forcing meteorological forecasts through a hydrological model or conceptual algorithm. In EFAS, meteorological forecasts from different numerical weather prediction systems are used for different forecasting ranges

 

Product

Forecast Name

Provider EFAS acronym

Maximum lead time

N. of Ensembles

Spatial Resolution

Flash flood

COSMO-LEPS

  COSMO

5 days

20

~ 7 km

Flash flood Opera nowcasting UPC Opera

4 hours

1

~ 2 km

Medium range

COSMO-EU*

DWD Det. DWD

3 days

1

~ 6.5 km

Medium range ICON* DWD Det. DWD

7 days

1

~ 13 km

Medium range COSMO-LEPS   COSMO 5 days 20 ~ 7 km
Medium range HRES ECMWF ECMWF-DET 10 days 1  ~ 9 km
Medium range ENS ECMWF ECMWF-ENS 15 days 51 ~ 18 km
Seasonal outlook SEAS5 ECMWF SEAS5 8 weeks 51 ~ 36 km

* Det. DWD forecasts use the COSMO-EU model for the first 3 days, then the ICON model for days 4-7.