Verification February-March 2018

Figure 1. EFAS CRPSS at lead-time 3 days the February-March 2018 period, for catchments >2000km2. The reference score is persistence.
Figure 1. EFAS CRPSS at lead-time 3 days the February-March 2018 period, for catchments >2000km2. The reference score is persistence.
Figure 2. EFAS CRPSS at lead-time 10 days the February-March 2018 period, for catchments >2000km2. The reference score is persistence.
Figure 2. EFAS CRPSS at lead-time 10 days the February-March 2018 period, for catchments >2000km2. The reference score is persistence.

Figure 1 - Figure 2 shows the EFAS headline score, the Continuous Ranked Probability Skill Score (CRPSS) for lead times 3 and 10 days for the February to March period across the EFAS domain for catchments larger than 2000km2. The reference score is the persistence forecast. A CRPSS of 1 indicates perfect skill, 0 indicates that the performance is equal to that of the reference, and any value <0 (shown in red on the maps) indicates the skill is worse than persistence.

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2018